Well, it looks like Kamala Harris is learning the hard way that campaigning for president isn’t a walk in the park. Just a little over a month away from the November election, her numbers are struggling, and honestly, it’s not looking great for her. According to an Emerson College Poll conducted at the end of September, she’s not even close to pulling the kind of support that President Joe Biden did back in 2020. Imagine that—failing to live up to Biden’s popularity. That’s saying something.
In a head-to-head face-off with Donald Trump, Harris is sitting at 50%, with Trump nipping at her heels at 48%. Sure, the margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points, so this could go either way, but let’s be real: this is a dead heat. Biden had a 4.5-point lead over Trump in 2020, and Harris is struggling to even hold a lead this slim. And it gets worse. The data analyzed by FiveThirtyEight paints an even bleaker picture. While Biden had a comfy 7.4-point lead around this time in 2020, Harris is barely scraping by with a lead of just 2.8 points. Yikes.
And if you think that’s bad, the RealClearPolitics numbers show an even bigger gap. Biden had a 7.8-point lead in the fall of 2020, compared to Harris’s measly 2.2 points. For someone who’s supposed to be the big hope of the Democratic Party, she sure isn’t delivering the goods. It’s almost as if voters aren’t quite buying what she’s selling. Maybe the party assumed they could just slap a new name on the ticket and get the same results, but it turns out voters aren’t that gullible.
When it comes to the battleground states, things are just as messy. In key states like North Carolina and Pennsylvania, it’s a statistical tie. Trump is even ahead in Arizona and Georgia, which should be a wake-up call for Harris’s camp. Sure, she’s got a slight edge in places like Nevada, Michigan, and Wisconsin, but these margins are razor-thin. You’d think after all the hype, she’d be doing better in these critical swing states, but it seems like the excitement just isn’t there.
And let’s not forget the working-class voters, the backbone of Trump’s 2016 win. He’s still dominating with non-college-educated and white working-class voters, and the numbers from the Teamsters Union don’t lie. Trump’s pulling in around 60% of support from the union’s rank-and-file members. So much for Harris making inroads with blue-collar voters. If she can’t even peel away support from this demographic, it’s hard to see how she plans to pull off a win. It’s almost like the Democrats are trying to lose at this point.
Kamala Trails Biden’s 2020 Margins ‘Bigly’
