Former President Donald Trump seems to be gaining significant momentum as new polling data shows him ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in several crucial swing states, along with a national lead. Recent polls conducted by AtlasIntel between October 12-17, 2024, indicate Trump is pulling in nearly 51% of the vote nationally, while Harris is stuck at 48%. It’s not a landslide by any means, but in a race this tight, even a few points can make all the difference.
The swing states are where the real story unfolds. In states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada—places that will make or break the 2024 election—Trump holds the edge. Take Arizona for instance, where Trump’s lead might be razor-thin at 0.6%, but it’s still a lead, showing that every percentage point is crucial in these battleground states. Georgia looks a bit better for Trump with a 1.4% lead, while Michigan gives him a more comfortable 2.8% edge. Pennsylvania, with its 3.3% Trump lead, is shaping up to be a particularly rough ride for Harris.
Of course, Harris isn’t entirely out of the game. She’s managing to hold onto slim leads in North Carolina and Wisconsin, where the margins are within 1%. But let’s be real—this close to election day, being “ahead” by fractions of a point doesn’t exactly scream confidence.
Interestingly, Trump’s growing support among Arab Americans in places like Michigan is one of the more unexpected developments. With Hamtramck Mayor Ameer Ghalib publicly endorsing Trump, it seems the Arab American community is increasingly frustrated with the Biden administration’s handling of international affairs, particularly the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict. Trump, ever the opportunist, is cashing in on that frustration.
In Pennsylvania, which has been a political battlefield for years, several polls show Trump inching ahead of Harris. It’s clear the Trump campaign is zeroing in on these key swing states, and if these numbers hold, Harris could be in for a long election night.
